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  • The Rise and Fall of a Destination

    If you’ve ever taken a marketing class, you are probably aware that every product, be it a toothpaste brand or a dog-walking service, goes through a life cycle: introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. The goal of the decision maker is to make the most of the growth and maturity phases to maximize revenue. Tourism destinations also follow this widely recognized lifecycle: investors, developers, communities, end-users, and policy makers must be aware of how their destination is performing within this paradigm.

    Before we examine Panama and the Gulf of Chiriqui, it is important to understand the research and a little how the model applies to tourist destinations. In 1974, Stanley Plog was the first to recognize the fact that destinations experience a cycle like those of consumer products, warning against developing carelessly and without respect for the things that made it popular in the first place. He theorized that the type of visitor a place was attracting defined what phase the place was experiencing. Four years later, R.W. Butler expounded on this idea, developing the widely-accepted model Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC). It is still used throughout academia and industry today, although many academics fault it for not taking into full consideration the full complexity and dynamic nature of the industry. The TALC is described below:Tourism Area Life Cycle Chart

    In the Exploration phase (areas of Columbia), a small, inconsistent number of adventurous visitors attracted to natural and cultural features will make use of local facilities. The visitor numbers increase during the Involvement phase (Panama) and the local people begin providing facilities specifically for tourists. A season emerges, advertising may start, and governments begin to get involved in developing infrastructure. During the Development phase (Costa Rica), larger and more elaborate facilities (frequently built by non-local organizations) will be created and the tourist market will be well-defined. Stagnation (many beach destinations of Mexico) happens as the capacity of an area is reached and the place falls out of fashion as organized mass tourists are the primary customers and artificial facilities supplant authentic experiences. The destination can either transition into a phase of Decline (Niagara Falls) or change its attractions to reach a phase of Rejuvenation (Atlantic City after adding gambling).

    How does this relate to Panama and the Gulf of Chiriqui and why should we care? I believe that the Gulf is currently in the Involvement phase. And as investors in the hospitality sector, we are looking at the long-term picture and want to catch the curve on the bottom of the upswing, ensuring that there are many years left to reap the rewards of our efforts and investments. At this early stage, we will also be able to appreciate the natural and cultural amenities of the place before the area becomes discovered by mainstream tourists who may threaten its innate beauty. Finally, it gives us the opportunity to set the tone of development and have a hand in creating its future, hopefully extending the Development phase and creating facilities that are environmentally, socially, and economically responsible so that we never have to experience a Decline phase.

    In summary, according to Butler and my interpretation, Panama is just emerging as a destination. As long as we are joined by others in our commitment to sustainable development, it will likely enjoy many years of increased investment and interest as the popularity of the currently in-vogue destinations declines. We are in the right place at the right time.

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    Post by Jerrod Johnson

    Jerrod is a real estate development professional based in Colorado. He has devoted his career to creating places where great travel memories happen. Meet Jerrod>>

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    2 Responses

    1. Ben says:

      @panamajoules: I/we agree completely about the unchecked development going on in the national marine park (and even elsewhere around us). We see alot of activity that almost certainly cannot have gone through the proper approval channels.
      I can understand why people would want to do this, because we at Isla Palenque are going through approvals right now, and it really slows things down. And the majority of what we see is not particularly “bad” development. However, it sets a bad precedent; and as more and more development comes to the region, the lack of oversight could cause major damage to the ecosystems people are coming to enjoy.
      I’m not going to be the one to snitch on my neighbors, so I hope that as more activity comes to the area, more government attention is also focused here, so that the pristine and magical nature of the area isn’t destroyed.

    2. With so much “uncharted” beauty I would dare to say that the Gulf of Chiriqui is still in the exploration phase…

      What does scare me a bit is that some construction is going on in the National Park… mostly unsupervised (and I bet without proper permits).

      I truly hope that any development in the area leaves things as untouched as it can… the Gulf is truly magical and its potential is certainly unknown to most…

      With current trends its maximum potential (with the lowest impact) will only be reached by protecting those things that make it magical and unique…